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Red65
550218.1
362041.6
387538.4
Blue36
278110.8
557421.4
448228.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1035001502006536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.8
End0.0
red by 13.2
4482
#13
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto1.9
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
3875
#15
38.40.0
38.438.4
Auto0.4
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 17.0
5574
#26
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
5502
#29
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 7.3
2781
#25
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0