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Red50
207554.5
323433.2
554723.2
Blue77
335731.6
90439.4
278110.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113730501001502005077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#18
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto2.4
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 15.1
904
#19
39.40.0
39.439.4
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
3234
#28
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto1.3
Teleop31.9
End0.0
red by 1.6
3357
#21
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Third
5547
Unranked
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 12.4
2781
#25
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0