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Red169
201349.1
433453.4
462521.1
Blue149
461334.8
608231.4
617825.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17110250150200250169149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.0
53.453.4
Auto10.9
Teleop37.0
End5.5
red by 18.7
4613
#12
34.80.2
34.634.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End5.4
Second
49.10.0
49.149.1
Auto14.9
Teleop24.7
End9.5
red by 17.7
31.40.2
31.231.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Third
4625
#26
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.4
End2.2
blue by 4.0
6178
#17
25.10.2
24.925.1
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End3.5