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Red124
461334.8
608231.4
617825.1
Blue74
213030.0
507825.8
616924.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111935015020012474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#12
34.80.2
33.333.4
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End5.4
red by 4.7
2130
#14
30.00.2
30.230.0
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End6.9
Second
31.40.2
29.729.9
Auto6.9
Teleop20.3
End4.2
red by 5.6
25.80.2
26.025.8
Auto4.5
Teleop16.0
End5.3
Third
6178
#17
25.10.2
23.523.6
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End3.5
red by 0.9
6169
#22
24.30.2
24.424.3
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End3.6