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Red105
201349.1
501529.9
473321.3
Blue86
604121.1
461334.8
321628.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8071020030040010586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.11.2
44.645.8
Auto14.9
Teleop24.7
End9.5
red by 14.3
4613
#12
34.80.4
33.633.9
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End5.4
Second
5015
#23
29.92.0
18.420.5
Auto5.3
Teleop20.2
End4.3
red by 1.8
3216
#15
28.10.7
17.918.6
Auto9.8
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Third
4733
#27
21.32.0
13.615.6
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End4.0
red by 0.1
6041
#21
21.10.7
18.719.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed