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Red107
201349.1
463318.6
617825.1
Blue66
559710.4
148222.9
608231.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9344015010766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.11.6
48.049.6
Auto14.9
Teleop24.7
End9.5
red by 17.7
31.41.8
29.331.1
Auto6.9
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Second
6178
#17
25.12.6
19.422.1
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End3.5
red by 2.2
1482
#16
22.91.1
16.517.6
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End4.7
Third
4633
#31
18.62.6
15.818.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.0
red by 8.2
5597
#35
10.41.8
4.36.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed