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Red50
511713.5
28829.4
460424.4
Blue58
473321.3
616924.3
24417.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67620501001505058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#9
29.41.0
27.826.8
Auto10.2
Teleop14.5
End4.8
red by 5.2
6169
#22
24.30.3
23.423.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End3.6
Second
4604
#18
24.41.6
21.620.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End3.9
red by 3.1
4733
#27
21.30.3
20.320.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Third
5117
#33
13.51.5
15.313.8
Auto1.5
Teleop10.7
End1.3
blue by 4.4
244
#28
17.90.2
17.016.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed