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Red72
21629.4
617825.1
461334.8
Blue115
616924.3
433453.4
463427.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827405010015020025072115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#12
34.81.1
34.633.6
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End5.4
blue by 18.7
53.42.4
43.245.6
Auto10.9
Teleop37.0
End5.5
Second
216
#25
29.41.1
23.922.8
Auto9.5
Teleop15.6
End4.3
red by 2.2
27.24.1
14.818.8
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End5.0
Third
6178
#17
25.11.8
19.818.0
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End3.5
red by 0.9
6169
#22
24.34.1
15.419.4
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsMissed53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed