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Red91
321139.3
462729.0
393324.0
Blue157
461334.8
608231.4
617825.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171095010015020091157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.30.5
39.839.3
Auto13.4
Teleop21.3
End4.6
red by 4.6
4613
#12
34.80.5
33.934.4
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End5.4
Second
29.00.5
29.529.0
Auto7.3
Teleop18.3
End3.4
blue by 2.4
31.40.6
30.431.0
Auto6.9
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Third
3933
#30
24.00.5
24.524.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End3.3
blue by 1.1
6178
#17
25.10.6
24.224.7
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End3.5