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Red191
11861.1
1653.3
349028.7
Blue111
3421.8
28321.9
190225.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20865050100150250300191111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
61.10.0
60.760.7
Auto16.9
Teleop34.9
End9.2
red by 35.3
1902
#14
25.70.5
25.526.0
Auto8.7
Teleop11.7
End5.3
Second
16
#1
53.30.0
53.053.0
Auto13.1
Teleop26.0
End14.2
red by 31.4
283
#11
21.90.5
21.722.2
Auto3.9
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Third
3490
#15
28.70.0
28.428.4
Auto7.1
Teleop16.2
End5.5
red by 6.9
34
#22
21.80.5
21.622.1
Auto8.4
Teleop8.8
End4.6