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Red85
36440.1
418841.2
80123.8
Blue159
7935.3
125132.7
395930.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291185010015020085159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.5
40.940.4
Auto9.9
Teleop24.5
End6.8
red by 5.8
79
#13
35.30.3
35.135.3
Auto7.9
Teleop19.0
End8.4
Second
364
#32
40.10.5
39.939.3
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End7.1
red by 7.5
32.70.3
32.432.7
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End4.5
Third
801
#44
23.80.5
23.623.0
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End2.1
blue by 6.2
3959
#21
30.00.3
29.730.0
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End4.0