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Red40
571715.9
339725.5
381420.7
Blue120
396621.3
395930.0
62439.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57810204010012014040120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#16
25.51.4
23.021.6
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End4.1
blue by 13.7
624
#7
39.33.1
34.838.0
Auto10.2
Teleop23.0
End6.1
Second
3814
#47
20.72.1
20.017.9
Auto2.4
Teleop13.7
End4.5
blue by 9.3
3959
#21
30.03.1
23.726.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End4.0
Third
5717
#42
15.92.1
15.913.8
Auto0.2
Teleop12.3
End3.4
blue by 5.4
3966
#48
21.33.9
16.420.3
Auto9.0
Teleop11.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed