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Red85
281530.1
53820.8
531723.7
Blue115
219017.4
80123.8
11861.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509802040608012014016085115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#12
30.12.6
24.927.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.5
End3.6
blue by 30.9
118
#2
61.12.0
48.850.8
Auto16.9
Teleop34.9
End9.2
Second
5317
#31
23.72.6
13.215.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End3.1
blue by 0.1
801
#44
23.82.2
21.123.3
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Third
538
#51
20.82.3
18.120.4
Auto8.9
Teleop8.5
End3.3
red by 3.3
2190
#39
17.43.0
18.421.4
Auto9.3
Teleop7.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed