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Red94
153926.9
146627.5
500631.4
Blue75
455321.4
36440.1
616314.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696640506080901009475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.41.8
27.429.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End5.4
blue by 8.7
364
#32
40.10.7
32.233.0
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End7.1
Second
1466
#28
27.52.5
17.720.2
Auto7.7
Teleop14.7
End5.0
red by 6.1
4553
#49
21.41.1
19.220.3
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Third
1539
#30
26.92.0
21.623.6
Auto2.1
Teleop19.2
End5.5
red by 12.4
6163
#37
14.41.1
13.614.7
Auto1.9
Teleop11.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed