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Red62
36440.1
401316.5
518018.7
Blue131
190225.7
11861.1
386124.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67992040608012014016062131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#32
40.10.5
33.032.4
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End7.1
blue by 21.0
118
#2
61.12.6
50.853.4
Auto16.9
Teleop34.9
End9.2
Second
5180
#27
18.70.7
13.512.8
Auto7.5
Teleop9.2
End2.0
blue by 7.0
1902
#14
25.73.2
24.327.5
Auto8.7
Teleop11.7
End5.3
Third
4013
#50
16.50.7
23.823.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 7.5
3861
#29
24.04.3
16.821.1
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned