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Red48
333715.1
455321.4
610720.5
Blue98
281530.1
504534.6
170622.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4783020601001201401604898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4553
#49
21.40.9
20.319.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.0
blue by 13.3
34.61.8
28.730.5
Auto11.2
Teleop19.2
End4.2
Second
6107
#34
20.50.9
13.612.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End4.0
blue by 9.6
2815
#12
30.11.8
27.529.4
Auto10.0
Teleop16.5
End3.6
Third
3337
#46
15.10.5
17.316.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 7.6
1706
#35
22.71.5
19.120.7
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed