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Red77
7935.3
555114.9
349028.7
Blue88
492419.9
170622.7
339725.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755402040601001207788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
#13
35.30.5
32.432.9
Auto7.9
Teleop19.0
End8.4
red by 9.8
3397
#16
25.51.5
21.823.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End4.1
Second
3490
#15
28.70.5
23.323.8
Auto7.1
Teleop16.2
End5.5
red by 6.0
1706
#35
22.71.5
21.522.9
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Third
5551
#40
14.90.8
13.914.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.2
blue by 5.0
4924
#33
19.92.5
12.414.9
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed