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Red92
281530.1
3421.8
45635.4
Blue52
170622.7
518018.7
619818.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions964502060801201401609252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#6
35.40.4
35.936.3
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
red by 12.7
1706
#35
22.70.0
22.923.0
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Second
2815
#12
30.10.4
30.430.8
Auto10.0
Teleop16.5
End3.6
red by 11.4
5180
#27
18.70.0
13.813.9
Auto7.5
Teleop9.2
End2.0
Third
34
#22
21.80.4
19.720.1
Auto8.4
Teleop8.8
End4.6
red by 3.2
6198
#41
18.60.0
14.914.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed