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Red15
297321.8
219017.4
616314.4
Blue51
615813.9
80123.8
584519.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6161203040507080901551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2973
#18
21.84.9
21.016.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
blue by 2.0
801
#44
23.80.5
24.023.5
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Second
2190
#39
17.44.9
23.518.6
Auto9.3
Teleop7.4
End0.8
blue by 2.5
5845
#17
19.90.8
19.418.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End4.5
Third
6163
#37
14.44.9
15.010.0
Auto1.9
Teleop11.4
End1.2
red by 0.6
6158
#45
13.90.8
15.114.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed