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Red154
500631.4
17948.3
1653.3
Blue72
386124.0
53820.8
349028.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15153010020015472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
53.31.5
51.252.7
Auto13.1
Teleop26.0
End14.2
red by 24.6
3490
#15
28.70.4
25.125.5
Auto7.1
Teleop16.2
End5.5
Second
179
#3
48.31.5
50.051.5
Auto10.5
Teleop27.5
End10.3
red by 24.3
3861
#29
24.00.7
22.423.1
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Third
31.41.5
30.732.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End5.4
red by 10.7
538
#51
20.80.4
18.318.7
Auto8.9
Teleop8.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
13%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed