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Red70
28321.9
3421.8
339725.5
Blue90
36440.1
584519.9
504534.6
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62992040801201401607090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#16
25.50.1
24.224.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End4.1
blue by 14.6
364
#32
40.10.0
38.138.1
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End7.1
Second
283
#11
21.90.1
21.721.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.8
End4.2
blue by 12.7
34.60.0
33.833.8
Auto11.2
Teleop19.2
End4.2
Third
34
#22
21.80.1
20.120.1
Auto8.4
Teleop8.8
End4.6
red by 1.9
5845
#17
19.90.1
18.618.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed