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Red60
94520.9
3421.8
219017.4
Blue55
396621.3
386124.0
518018.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5939020801006055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34
#22
21.80.5
19.620.1
Auto8.4
Teleop8.8
End4.6
blue by 2.2
3861
#29
24.01.0
14.415.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Second
945
#36
20.90.5
17.217.7
Auto7.0
Teleop10.6
End3.3
blue by 0.3
3966
#48
21.31.0
15.416.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.0
End1.3
Third
2190
#39
17.40.6
17.918.4
Auto9.3
Teleop7.4
End0.8
blue by 1.3
5180
#27
18.70.9
11.212.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
21%Breach oddsMissed46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed