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Red114
62439.3
584519.9
1653.3
Blue91
610720.5
7935.3
381420.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131635010015020011491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
53.30.9
53.953.0
Auto13.1
Teleop26.0
End14.2
red by 18.0
79
#13
35.31.3
33.835.1
Auto7.9
Teleop19.0
End8.4
Second
624
#7
39.30.9
42.441.5
Auto10.2
Teleop23.0
End6.1
red by 18.6
3814
#47
20.71.7
19.020.7
Auto2.4
Teleop13.7
End4.5
Third
5845
#17
19.91.2
21.119.9
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End4.5
blue by 0.6
6107
#34
20.51.7
18.820.5
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
26%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed