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Red114
62439.3
17948.3
547226.3
Blue117
36440.1
418841.2
80123.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14312450100200114117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#3
48.30.5
48.848.3
Auto10.5
Teleop27.5
End10.3
red by 7.2
41.20.1
40.740.6
Auto9.9
Teleop24.5
End6.8
Second
624
#7
39.30.5
39.839.3
Auto10.2
Teleop23.0
End6.1
blue by 0.8
364
#32
40.10.1
39.739.5
Auto9.4
Teleop23.6
End7.1
Third
5472
#19
26.30.5
26.826.3
Auto8.6
Teleop12.6
End5.1
red by 2.5
801
#44
23.80.1
23.323.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End2.1