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Red180
505043.3
198651.3
150156.9
Blue129
316626.7
18040.1
321137.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213113050150250300350180129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.0
57.056.9
Auto17.6
Teleop28.0
End11.4
red by 16.8
180
#24
40.10.1
40.040.1
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Second
1986
#16
51.30.0
51.351.3
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End7.5
red by 13.5
3211
#23
37.80.1
37.737.8
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End2.6
Third
5050
#27
43.30.0
43.443.3
Auto10.0
Teleop26.1
End7.2
red by 16.6
26.70.1
26.626.7
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End3.9