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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Archimedes Division
Red194
456450.6
400346.0
125734.7
Blue107
23631.3
154044.5
167136.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19113750100250300194107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#8
50.60.0
52.8→52.8
Auto11.2
Teleop30.5
End9.0
red by 6.1
1540
#33
44.50.6
45.1→44.5
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End3.9
Second
4003
#2
46.00.0
48.1→48.2
Auto15.0
Teleop26.2
End4.8
red by 9.1
1671
#39
36.90.6
37.5→36.9
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Third
1257
#10
34.70.0
36.8→36.8
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End5.8
red by 3.4
236
#38
31.30.6
31.9→31.3
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End7.4