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Qual 242016 Archimedes Division
Red107
491137.2
403942.5
197321.3
Blue123
309839.9
321137.8
206437.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9312550150200107123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#30
42.50.8
45.4→46.2
Auto13.8
Teleop23.3
End5.4
red by 2.5
3098
#53
39.90.4
40.3→40.7
Auto9.6
Teleop24.3
End6.0
Second
4911
#18
37.20.8
35.0→35.8
Auto10.7
Teleop21.5
End5.0
blue by 0.6
3211
#23
37.80.4
39.7→40.1
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End2.6
Third
1973
#67
21.30.8
14.6→15.4
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End3.8
blue by 16.4
2064
#4
37.70.4
36.8→37.3
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsEarned