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Red81
542223.0
120829.7
321137.8
Blue101
476128.7
131842.1
352720.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919060708010011081101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#23
37.80.5
40.139.7
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End2.6
blue by 4.3
1318
#28
42.10.8
43.244.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.9
End4.6
Second
1208
#61
29.70.5
27.627.1
Auto7.5
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 1.0
4761
#58
28.70.8
26.427.2
Auto9.0
Teleop15.4
End4.3
Third
5422
#73
23.00.5
20.319.8
Auto7.9
Teleop11.2
End3.9
red by 2.5
3527
#64
20.50.8
19.019.8
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed15%Capture oddsMissed