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Qual 482016 Archimedes Division
Red95
540437.4
206437.7
584224.9
Blue97
338925.9
393232.2
476128.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103934060801201401609597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2064
#4
37.70.3
37.9→37.7
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
red by 5.5
3932
#12
32.20.4
31.6→31.3
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End4.6
Second
5404
#74
37.40.3
38.7→38.5
Auto10.6
Teleop21.5
End5.3
red by 8.7
4761
#58
28.70.4
27.2→26.8
Auto9.0
Teleop15.4
End4.3
Third
5842
#34
24.90.3
22.4→22.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.7
End3.6
blue by 1.0
3389
#63
25.90.4
33.5→33.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
25%Capture oddsMissed22%Capture oddsMissed