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Red127
263743.6
139131.7
20743.1
Blue118
125734.7
353442.5
23631.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010350150200127118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#21
43.60.5
40.440.9
Auto10.3
Teleop24.9
End8.4
red by 1.1
42.50.7
40.741.4
Auto7.9
Teleop22.3
End12.3
Second
207
#44
43.10.5
42.843.4
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End11.3
red by 8.4
1257
#10
34.70.7
31.332.0
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End5.8
Third
1391
#19
31.70.5
30.731.2
Auto10.5
Teleop16.1
End5.0
red by 0.4
236
#38
31.30.7
30.831.4
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed56%Capture oddsEarned