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Red88
453422.9
353323.0
310234.4
Blue94
502427.0
476128.7
132531.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74930501508894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#37
34.40.9
32.433.3
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.1
red by 2.8
1325
#41
31.60.4
32.432.8
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
Second
3533
#71
23.00.9
21.322.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End2.7
blue by 5.7
4761
#58
28.70.4
27.728.1
Auto9.0
Teleop15.4
End4.3
Third
4534
#54
22.90.9
20.921.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.5
End4.3
blue by 4.2
5024
#46
27.00.4
27.628.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsMissed