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Red119
584224.9
587838.1
321137.8
Blue100
603226.9
139131.7
482826.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10180204060120140160119100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5878
#17
38.11.3
33.134.3
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End6.1
red by 6.4
1391
#19
31.70.3
31.732.0
Auto10.5
Teleop16.1
End5.0
Second
3211
#23
37.81.3
38.239.5
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End2.6
red by 10.9
6032
#56
26.90.3
25.325.6
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End3.5
Third
5842
#34
24.91.3
23.524.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.7
End3.6
blue by 1.2
4828
#45
26.10.3
23.924.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned9%Capture oddsMissed