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Red200
505043.3
198651.3
150156.9
Blue0
403942.5
206437.7
233840.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2041520501002503003504002000

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.0
56.256.2
Auto17.6
Teleop28.0
End11.4
red by 14.5
4039
#30DQ
42.50.1
43.243.3
Auto13.8
Teleop23.3
End5.4
Second
1986
#16
51.30.0
50.550.6
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End7.5
red by 10.7
2338
#35DQ
40.60.1
41.441.4
Auto9.7
Teleop27.8
End3.1
Third
5050
#27
43.30.0
42.642.6
Auto10.0
Teleop26.1
End7.2
red by 5.7
2064
#4DQ
37.70.1
38.438.5
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4