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Red220
505043.3
198651.3
150156.9
Blue86
403942.5
206437.7
233840.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20415205010025030035040022086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.3
56.256.5
Auto17.6
Teleop28.0
End11.4
red by 14.5
4039
#30
42.50.8
43.342.5
Auto13.8
Teleop23.3
End5.4
Second
1986
#16
51.30.3
50.650.9
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End7.5
red by 10.7
2338
#35
40.60.8
41.440.6
Auto9.7
Teleop27.8
End3.1
Third
5050
#27
43.30.3
42.643.0
Auto10.0
Teleop26.1
End7.2
red by 5.7
37.70.8
38.537.7
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4