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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red119
303928.0
393744.2
457620.3
Blue112
543731.0
500216.8
233324.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1178250100150200119112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#3
44.20.1
43.5→43.6
Auto9.2
Teleop23.8
End11.2
red by 13.2
5437
#19
31.00.5
30.5→31.0
Auto8.8
Teleop18.5
End3.6
Second
3039
#4
28.00.1
27.2→27.3
Auto6.7
Teleop17.8
End3.6
red by 3.9
2333
#31
24.10.5
23.6→24.1
Auto8.2
Teleop12.8
End3.1
Third
4576
#39
20.30.1
19.6→19.7
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End4.1
red by 3.5
5002
#12
16.80.5
16.3→16.8
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End3.9