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Red65
500626.4
359328.0
235922.5
Blue39
239514.2
361224.1
433520.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635002040801001201401606539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.7
19.720.3
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End6.6
red by 3.9
3612
#35
24.11.2
21.420.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.8
End4.0
Second
26.40.7
19.720.4
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End4.5
red by 6.0
4335
#33
20.41.2
12.911.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Third
2359
#10
22.50.7
19.720.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End3.6
red by 8.3
2395
#34
14.21.2
15.814.6
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed