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Red69
605520.9
395923.7
504525.0
Blue60
618318.6
433520.4
545429.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575635404550606570756960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.01.5
18.820.3
Auto6.2
Teleop15.3
End3.5
blue by 4.4
29.40.6
26.426.9
Auto8.2
Teleop15.4
End5.9
Second
3959
#16
23.71.5
23.024.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End3.5
red by 3.3
4335
#33
20.40.6
11.712.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Third
6055
#25
20.91.5
13.715.2
Auto8.3
Teleop8.2
End4.5
red by 2.4
6183
#23
18.60.6
16.817.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed