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Red104
1646.3
545429.4
346817.4
Blue69
303928.0
53817.1
233833.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67752040608010012010469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
46.34.2
28.933.1
Auto9.9
Teleop24.4
End12.0
red by 12.6
2338
#11
33.70.9
29.929.1
Auto7.7
Teleop22.8
End3.1
Second
29.44.2
21.725.9
Auto8.2
Teleop15.4
End5.9
red by 1.5
28.00.9
23.422.5
Auto6.7
Teleop17.8
End3.6
Third
3468
#20
17.44.2
15.719.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End2.7
red by 0.3
538
#36
17.10.9
18.417.5
Auto7.7
Teleop6.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed