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Red89
500216.8
238823.7
393744.2
Blue63
53718.8
346817.4
556823.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72582040801001208963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.22.4
30.733.0
Auto9.2
Teleop23.8
End11.2
red by 20.4
5568
#22
23.80.5
16.116.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.7
End3.2
Second
2388
#28
23.72.4
20.823.2
Auto2.6
Teleop14.8
End6.2
red by 4.9
537
#45
18.80.5
21.121.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Third
5002
#12
16.82.4
16.218.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End3.9
blue by 0.6
3468
#20
17.40.5
21.121.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed