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Red56
233324.1
53718.8
93223.2
Blue66
277316.0
207726.9
433520.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61592040801001205666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#31
24.10.4
16.716.3
Auto8.2
Teleop12.8
End3.1
blue by 2.8
2077
#15
26.91.0
23.024.0
Auto8.3
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Second
932
#26
23.20.4
21.120.7
Auto6.9
Teleop13.7
End2.7
red by 2.8
4335
#33
20.41.0
16.016.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Third
537
#45
18.80.4
21.421.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.4
red by 2.8
2773
#42
16.01.0
18.419.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed