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Red55
395923.7
515318.4
277316.0
Blue77
314028.4
207726.9
238823.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616155606570755577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#16
23.70.5
23.222.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End3.5
blue by 4.8
28.41.9
21.323.3
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End3.1
Second
5153
#27
18.40.5
17.917.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.4
End3.7
blue by 8.4
2077
#15
26.91.9
21.022.9
Auto8.3
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Third
2773
#42
16.00.5
18.317.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.9
blue by 7.7
2388
#28
23.71.9
17.219.2
Auto2.6
Teleop14.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed