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Red66
500626.4
433520.4
238823.7
Blue100
613117.0
306128.0
331043.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6670405060809010066100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.2
24.024.2
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End4.5
blue by 16.9
43.33.6
32.636.2
Auto14.5
Teleop21.2
End7.6
Second
2388
#28
23.70.2
23.823.9
Auto2.6
Teleop14.8
End6.2
blue by 4.3
3061
#18
28.03.6
23.326.9
Auto10.4
Teleop13.2
End4.3
Third
4335
#33
20.40.2
16.817.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End4.8
red by 3.4
6131
#44
17.03.6
11.315.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed