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Red70
70416.4
306128.0
207726.9
Blue77
246116.5
500626.4
545429.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746740506080901001107077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#18
28.00.1
26.926.9
Auto10.4
Teleop13.2
End4.3
blue by 1.4
29.41.1
28.529.6
Auto8.2
Teleop15.4
End5.9
Second
2077
#15
26.90.1
27.327.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.3
End5.3
red by 0.5
26.41.1
24.225.3
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End4.5
Third
704
#48
16.40.1
16.416.4
Auto1.1
Teleop13.0
End2.3
blue by 0.1
2461
#47
16.51.2
13.614.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed