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Qual 632016 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red115
433520.4
303928.0
543731.0
Blue72
396110.3
314028.4
457620.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725202040608010012011572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5437
#19
31.03.4
26.2→29.5
Auto8.8
Teleop18.5
End3.6
red by 2.5
3140
#6
28.41.9
28.8→30.6
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End3.1
Second
3039
#4
28.03.4
24.2→27.5
Auto6.7
Teleop17.8
End3.6
red by 7.7
4576
#39
20.31.9
16.9→18.8
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End4.1
Third
4335
#33
20.43.4
17.0→20.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End4.8
red by 10.1
3961
#41
10.31.9
8.3→10.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed