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Red79
233324.1
306128.0
53817.1
Blue83
543731.0
556823.8
613117.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68704060801001207983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#18DQ
28.00.8
26.927.6
Auto10.4
Teleop13.2
End4.3
blue by 3.0
5437
#19DQ
31.01.0
29.530.6
Auto8.8
Teleop18.5
End3.6
Second
2333
#31DQ
24.10.8
23.023.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.8
End3.1
red by 0.3
5568
#22DQ
23.81.0
21.822.9
Auto7.0
Teleop13.7
End3.2
Third
538
#36DQ
17.10.8
16.317.1
Auto7.7
Teleop6.7
End2.7
red by 0.1
6131
#44DQ
17.01.0
16.017.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed