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Semifinal 2-12016 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red139
303928.0
393744.2
457620.3
Blue90
314028.4
359328.0
207726.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131085015020013990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#3
44.20.5
43.6→44.2
Auto9.2
Teleop23.8
End11.2
red by 15.8
3140
#6
28.40.5
29.7→29.2
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End3.1
Second
3039
#4
28.00.6
27.3→27.9
Auto6.7
Teleop17.8
End3.6
Level
3593
#5
28.00.5
29.2→28.7
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End6.6
Third
4576
#39
20.30.5
19.7→20.3
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End4.1
blue by 6.6
2077
#15
26.90.5
28.1→27.6
Auto8.3
Teleop13.3
End5.3