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Red127
303928.0
393744.2
457620.3
Blue82
314028.4
359328.0
207726.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151065015020012782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.2
44.244.0
Auto9.2
Teleop23.8
End11.2
red by 15.8
28.40.8
29.228.4
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End3.1
Second
28.00.2
27.927.8
Auto6.7
Teleop17.8
End3.6
Level
28.00.7
28.728.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.7
End6.6
Third
4576
#39
20.30.2
20.320.1
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End4.1
blue by 6.6
2077
#15
26.90.7
27.626.9
Auto8.3
Teleop13.3
End5.3