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Qual 112016 Australia Regional
Red20
481718.4
600717.4
620417.3
Blue30
598817.9
45298.2
453720.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47472030405060702030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4817
#21
18.42.8
14.6→11.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End4.8
blue by 1.7
4537
#11
20.11.7
16.5→14.7
Auto9.3
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Second
6007
#41
17.42.8
14.8→12.0
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End2.1
blue by 0.5
5988
#26
17.91.7
14.9→13.1
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End4.1
Third
6204
#20
17.32.8
15.9→13.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End3.6
red by 9.1
4529
#42
8.21.7
14.3→12.6
Auto1.1
Teleop5.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed