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Red32
605022.0
473913.7
61917.9
Blue50
559327.5
478813.6
564812.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44421020305060703250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6050
#14
22.01.5
14.613.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.4
blue by 5.5
5593
#12
27.50.2
18.218.4
Auto8.6
Teleop12.4
End6.4
Second
4739
#18
13.71.5
12.210.6
Auto1.4
Teleop9.4
End3.0
red by 0.1
4788
#40
13.60.2
12.712.9
Auto2.1
Teleop8.3
End3.2
Third
6191
#43
7.91.5
14.112.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.9
blue by 4.4
5648
#38
12.30.2
12.012.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed