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Qual 162016 Australia Regional
Red65
589318.1
477415.6
598817.9
Blue75
461332.8
453720.1
480215.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4458020801001201406575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5893
#36Sur
18.10.5
13.1→13.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End2.5
blue by 14.7
4613
#2Sur
32.80.6
27.7→28.3
Auto12.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
Second
5988
#26
17.90.5
13.1→13.7
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End4.1
blue by 2.2
4537
#11
20.10.6
14.7→15.3
Auto9.3
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Third
4774
#28
15.60.5
19.0→19.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Level
4802
#39
15.70.6
12.3→12.9
Auto7.7
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
19%Breach oddsMissed26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed